Macro Alerts

Economic indicators and macro regime alerts

Tickerbot tracks 10 key economic indicators: Fed funds rate, treasury yields, CPI, GDP, unemployment, retail sales, and more. Set alerts on threshold crosses, yield curve inversions, and macro regime shifts that move entire markets.

Fed policy, yields, inflation, and economic data

From Fed funds moves to yield curve inversion to CPI surprises — all automated.

Fed funds rate threshold alerts (monetary policy regime)

The Fed funds rate is the most important number in finance. When the Fed raises or cuts rates, entire asset classes reprice. Tickerbot tracks the effective Fed funds rate daily and can alert you when it crosses a threshold you specify.

Example

Federal funds rate crosses above 5.5%

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Fed funds 5.52%, highest level since 2007.

Treasury yield threshold alerts (the bond market signal)

The 10-year treasury yield is the benchmark for all other interest rates. Tickerbot tracks the 10-year yield daily and can alert you when it crosses key levels — often a leading indicator for equity valuations.

Example

10-year treasury yield crosses above 4.5%

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10Y yield 4.52%, up from 4.38% last week.

Yield curve inversion alerts (the recession signal)

The 2-year/10-year yield spread is the most-watched recession indicator. When the 2-year yield is higher than the 10-year (an inversion), it historically precedes recessions by 12-18 months. Tickerbot can alert you on inversions or un-inversions.

Example

2-year/10-year yield spread inverts (2Y > 10Y)

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2/10 spread -0.18%. Inversion for the first time since 2022.

CPI and inflation threshold alerts

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is released monthly and moves markets. Tickerbot tracks monthly CPI data and can alert you when CPI crosses a threshold — or when CPI comes in well above or below consensus.

Example

CPI crosses above 4% year-over-year

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CPI 4.2% YoY, up from 3.8% last month.

GDP growth and recession tracking

Tickerbot tracks quarterly real GDP and real GDP per capita. You can set alerts for when GDP growth drops below a threshold, or when two consecutive quarters of negative growth signal a technical recession.

Example

Real GDP growth drops below 1% for two consecutive quarters

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GDP +0.8% in Q2, following +0.6% in Q1. Technical recession.

Unemployment and nonfarm payrolls (labor market strength)

The unemployment rate and monthly nonfarm payroll numbers are key labor market indicators. Tickerbot tracks both and can alert you when unemployment crosses key levels or when NFP comes in well above or below consensus.

Example

Unemployment rate crosses above 4.5%

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Unemployment 4.6%, up from 4.1% three months ago.

Macro alerts you can build in plain English

Fed funds rate crosses above 6% (restrictive monetary policy)
10-year treasury yield crosses above 5% (equity valuation headwind)
2-year/10-year spread inverts (recession warning)
CPI above 5% YoY (inflation regime)
Real GDP growth below 0% for two quarters (recession)
Unemployment rate crosses above 5% (labor market weakening)
Nonfarm payrolls miss consensus by 100K+ (labor slowdown)
Retail sales up 5%+ YoY (consumer strength)

Deep dives

Detailed guides on specific macro and economic indicator alerts

Economic indicators and macro regime alerts

Fed policy, yields, inflation, and economic data

Fed funds rate threshold alerts (monetary policy regime)

Treasury yield threshold alerts (the bond market signal)

Yield curve inversion alerts (the recession signal)

CPI and inflation threshold alerts

GDP growth and recession tracking

Unemployment and nonfarm payrolls (labor market strength)

Macro alerts you can build in plain English

Deep dives

Fed Funds Rate Alerts

Yield Curve Inversion Alerts

Economic Data Surprise Alerts

Macro-Stock Divergence Alerts

CPI & Inflation Alerts

Unemployment Rate Alerts

Set up your first macro alert